This year there are 31 states holding their primary elections earlier than usual. And some are holding them earlier still. With Vote by Mail balloting, some states are earlier than ever. New Jersey is one of them.
For example, Florida who holds their state presidential primary on January 29th, offers residents the opportunity to cast their ballots with mail in ballots. They must get in their ballots before Santa brings presents ---before Christmas day.
With early primaries, early voting in primaries, and mere percentage points separating the leading candidates on both sides of the aisle, it’s hard to call a winner. Normally, candidates gear up for the Big Day in a state. But with early voting, voters are making choices before all the mailers are mailed, all the TV commercials are aired, and all the new scandals are scandalized. That makes it tougher for a candidate to judge the race.
And New Jersey is one of the states, along with California, that has the large population, and early voting for residents. The first three primary states — New Hampshire, Michigan and South Carolina — do not allow early voting. That gives NJ an advantage. The downside of early voting is that with the Super-est Super Tuesday of them all---Primary Day on February 5th, and early voting going on now, you could end up casting your vote for a candidate who may have already dropped out of the race.
Vote By Mail changes election strategy quite a bit.
This observation from Mike DuHaime, Giuliani's campaign manager. "If you are telling a story (through ads) and the close comes in the final weekend, you may have missed one-third of the voters."